Match

Valerenga vs Start: prediction and stats

EliteserienRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Intility Arena, Oslo

ValerengaStart

The Footlab AI model makes Valerenga the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Start. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Valerenga vs Start?

On Elo ratings, Valerenga has 1,928 points and Start 1,869.

57%22%21%
Valerenga winDrawStart win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Valerenga vs Start

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Valerenga

4-4-2
  1. 28M. Westergaard
  2. 90O. Saeter
  1. 77L. Haren
  2. 10C. Lange
  3. 11G. Zahid
  4. 24P. Strand
  1. 55S. Jarl
  2. 3H. Sjåtil
  3. 4A. Kiil Olsen
  4. 26D. Gjengaar
  1. 1O. Hedvall

Start

5-3-2
  1. 20H. Lorentzen
  2. 17J. Cornelius
  1. 23E. Segberg
  2. 10S. Mvoué
  3. 18M. Ugland
  1. 3A. Ujkani
  2. 29E. Reitan
  3. 6J. Norheim
  4. 5S. Granheim
  5. 12D. Dashaev
  1. 26M. Sjøeng

Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:01 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Valerenga have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Start have 7, 0 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Valerenga
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 12, 2026KFUM Oslo(away)1-2Eliteserien
Sep 20, 2026Fredrikstad(home)1-1Eliteserien
Sep 17, 2026Skeid(away)4-1NM Cupen
Sep 12, 2026Lillestrom(away)0-2Eliteserien
Sep 6, 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF(away)2-2Eliteserien
Start
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Ham-Kam(home)2-4Eliteserien
Oct 6, 2026Raufoss(away)5-1NM Cupen
Oct 2, 2026Brann(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Sandefjord(away)0-3Eliteserien
Sep 16, 2026Vindbjart(away)3-2NM Cupen

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Valerenga wins, 1 draw, 2 Start wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026Start 2-0 ValerengaEliteserien
Nov 2, 2024Valerenga 1-1 Start1. Division
Jul 20, 2024Start 1-2 Valerenga1. Division
Mar 1, 2022Valerenga 3-1 StartFriendlies Clubs
Dec 22, 2020Valerenga 4-0 StartEliteserien
Aug 17, 2020Start 2-1 ValerengaEliteserien

Last archived meeting: Start vs Valerenga on May 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Valerenga score 2.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Start score 1.6 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Valerenga2.52.2012/1512/15
Start1.61.819/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Valerenga sit 13th in Eliteserien (23 points from 22 matches) and Start sit 16th (16 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13Valerenga226511354523
16Start224414244816

A question about Valerenga vs Start?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Valerenga vs Start?
The Footlab AI model makes Valerenga the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 21% for Start.
Where and when is Valerenga vs Start played?
Valerenga vs Start is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Intility Arena, in the Eliteserien.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Valerenga and Start

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