Tromso vs Viking: prediction and stats
EliteserienRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Romssa Arena, Tromsø
The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Tromso. The most likely score is 1-1. If Viking wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tromso vs Viking?
Viking starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (2,199 vs 2,022).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tromso vs Viking
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tromso
5-3-2- 22H. Larsen
- 10T. Nyhammer
- 11R. Jenssen
- 70M. Bjørlo
- 7L. Olden Larsen
- 30I. Vådebu
- 29A. Warneryd
- 21L. Hien
- 37S. Innvær
- 4V. Skjærvik
- 1J. Haugaard
Viking
4-4-2- 20P. Christiansen
- 22E. Botheim
- 7K. Askildsen
- 10Z. Tripić
- 8J. Bell
- 16H. Bjørdal
- 6G. Stensness
- 5H. Heggheim
- 28K. Haugen
- 25H. Falchener
- 1A. Østbø
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tromso have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Viking have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ham-Kam(home) | 3-2 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Alta(away) | 2-1 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Rosenborg(away) | 3-5 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(away) | 0-2 | Eliteserien |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sarpsborg 08 FF(home) | 0-0 | Eliteserien |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2026 | Madla(away) | 3-0 | NM Cupen |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lillestrom(home) | 3-0 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kristiansund BK(home) | 8-1 | Eliteserien |
| Sep 9, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Sandefjord(away) | 1-1 | Eliteserien |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tromso wins, 3 draws, 3 Viking wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Tromso 1-1 Viking | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Tromso 1-3 Viking | Eliteserien |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Viking 4-4 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tromso 2-2 Viking | Eliteserien |
| May 5, 2024 | Viking 2-1 Tromso | Eliteserien |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Viking 1-0 Tromso | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Tromso score 2.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Viking score 2.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tromso | 2.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Viking | 2.5 | 1.1 | 3 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tromso sit 3rd in Eliteserien (38 points from 21 matches) and Viking sit 1st (50 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viking | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 54 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Tromso | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 29 | 38 |
A question about Tromso vs Viking?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tromso vs Viking?
- The Footlab AI model makes Viking the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Tromso.
- Where and when is Tromso vs Viking played?
- Tromso vs Viking is played on November 22, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Romssa Arena, in the Eliteserien.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.