Match

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC FreiburgBorussia Mönchengladbach

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate SC Freiburg (2,178) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,091).

SC Freiburg win45 %
Draw24 %
Borussia Mönchengladbach win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Motherwell(away)3-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026Crystal Palace(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Strasbourg(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Derby(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
May 20, 2026Aston Villa(home)0-3UEFA Europa League
Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Wuppertaler SV(away)6-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Freiburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Oct 5, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Apr 12, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Nov 30, 2024SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Mar 30, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Nov 4, 2023SC Freiburg 3-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg1.91.4310/1512/15
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.71.159/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7SC Freiburg3413813515747
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SC Freiburg and Borussia Mönchengladbach

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