SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate SC Freiburg (2,178) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,091).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Derby(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 20, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 0-3 | UEFA Europa League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Wuppertaler SV(away) | 6-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SC Freiburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | SC Freiburg 3-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Freiburg score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Freiburg | 1.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | 47 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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