Where and when is Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 played?

Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin

Union Berlin

FC Schalke 04

The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for FC Schalke 04. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,012) and FC Schalke 04 (2,039).

Union Berlin win39 %

Draw25 %

FC Schalke 04 win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Schalke 04 have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union Berlin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Ipswich(home)	2-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Aris(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 2, 2026	Cagliari(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

FC Schalke 04
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Real Madrid(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Atalanta(home)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Hessen Kassel(away)	5-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Fagiano Okayama(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 22, 2026	Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Union Berlin win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 19, 2023	Union Berlin 0-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Aug 27, 2022	FC Schalke 04 1-6 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Feb 13, 2021	Union Berlin 0-0 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Oct 18, 2020	FC Schalke 04 1-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga
Jun 7, 2020	Union Berlin 1-1 FC Schalke 04	Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2019	FC Schalke 04 2-1 Union Berlin	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 on Feb 19, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Schalke 04 score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Union Berlin	2.5	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
FC Schalke 04	1.8	1.3	5	6/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
11	Union Berlin	34	10	9	15	44	58	39

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04?: The Footlab model makes Union Berlin the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for FC Schalke 04.
Where and when is Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 played?: Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04 is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.