Where and when is SV Elversberg vs Bayern München played?

SV Elversberg vs Bayern München is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SV Elversberg vs Bayern München: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, Spiesen-Elversberg

SV Elversberg

Bayern München

The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for SV Elversberg. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SV Elversberg vs Bayern München?

Bayern München is a heavy favourite: 2,519 Elo points against 2,090 — a 429-point gap.

SV Elversberg win16 %

Draw19 %

Bayern München win65 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SV Elversberg have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Bayern München have 11, 2 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SV Elversberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	MSV Duisburg(away)	3-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Lorient(home)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Mallorca(away)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Strasbourg(away)	5-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	NEC Nijmegen(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Bayern München
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Borussia Dortmund(away)	2-1	Super Cup
Aug 18, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(away)	4-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026	RB Leipzig(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 7, 2026	Aston Villa(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 4, 2026	Jeju United FC(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

SV Elversberg score 2.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bayern München score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SV Elversberg	2.5	1.2	4	11/15	11/15
Bayern München	2.7	1.5	3	12/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern München	34	28	5	1	122	36	89

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SV Elversberg vs Bayern München?: The Footlab model makes Bayern München the favourite at 65%, against 19% for a draw and 16% for SV Elversberg.
Where and when is SV Elversberg vs Bayern München played?: SV Elversberg vs Bayern München is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.