Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen played?

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC Augsburg

Bayer Leverkusen

The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for FC Augsburg. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?

Bayer Leverkusen starts as the favourite with a 211-point Elo edge (2,277 vs 2,065).

FC Augsburg win24 %

Draw21 %

Bayer Leverkusen win55 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Bayer Leverkusen have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Energie Cottbus(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-4	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sassuolo(home)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026	Schwaz(away)	15-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-5	Friendlies Clubs

Bayer Leverkusen
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	SV Wehen(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Newcastle(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	Nottingham Forest(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Sevilla(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Rot-Weiß Essen(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Augsburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Bayer Leverkusen win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025	FC Augsburg 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
Apr 26, 2025	Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2024	FC Augsburg 0-2 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga
May 18, 2024	Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 FC Augsburg	Bundesliga
Jan 13, 2024	FC Augsburg 0-1 Bayer Leverkusen	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg on Apr 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bayer Leverkusen score 2.4 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg	2.5	2.0	2	10/15	10/15
Bayer Leverkusen	2.4	1.0	5	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and Bayer Leverkusen sit 6th (59 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Bayer Leverkusen	34	17	8	9	68	47	59
9	FC Augsburg	34	12	7	15	45	61	43

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen?: The Footlab model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 55%, against 21% for a draw and 24% for FC Augsburg.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen played?: FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.