Match

1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,156) and VfB Stuttgart (2,244).

1899 Hoffenheim win34 %
Draw22 %
VfB Stuttgart win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1899 Hoffenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Tottenham(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Holstein Kiel(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026SGV Freiberg(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Fulham(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Everton(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Paris FC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Kickers Offenbach(away)8-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 VfB Stuttgart win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 2, 20261899 Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Dec 20, 2025VfB Stuttgart 0-0 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Feb 23, 20251899 Hoffenheim 1-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Oct 6, 2024VfB Stuttgart 1-1 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Mar 16, 20241899 Hoffenheim 0-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Oct 28, 2023VfB Stuttgart 2-3 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1899 Hoffenheim1.91.948/1513/15
VfB Stuttgart3.11.349/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in Bundesliga (61 points from 34 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 4th (62 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4VfB Stuttgart341888714962
51899 Hoffenheim341879655261

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart played?
1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1899 Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart

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