1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)PreZero Arena, Sinsheim
The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate 1899 Hoffenheim (2,156) and VfB Stuttgart (2,244).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1899 Hoffenheim have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Tottenham(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | SGV Freiberg(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Fulham(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Everton(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Kickers Offenbach(away) | 8-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1899 Hoffenheim win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 VfB Stuttgart win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2025 | VfB Stuttgart 0-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Oct 6, 2024 | VfB Stuttgart 1-1 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 0-3 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2023 | VfB Stuttgart 2-3 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart on May 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 3.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th in Bundesliga (61 points from 34 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 4th (62 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71 | 49 | 62 |
| 5 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65 | 52 | 61 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart?
- The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
- Where and when is 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart played?
- 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at PreZero Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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