Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?

FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MEWA ARENA, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MEWA ARENA, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt

The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Eintracht Frankfurt. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate FSV Mainz 05 (2,142) and Eintracht Frankfurt (2,112).

FSV Mainz 05 win54 %

Draw21 %

Eintracht Frankfurt win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Eintracht Frankfurt have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Krieschow(away)	9-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bournemouth(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Paris FC(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Udinese(away)	3-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Shabab Al Ahli Dubai(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

Eintracht Frankfurt
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	SC St. Tönis(away)	11-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Brentford(away)	0-7	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026	FSV Frankfurt(away)	5-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Hull City(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Waldhof Mannheim(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FSV Mainz 05 win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Eintracht Frankfurt win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	FSV Mainz 05 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga
Nov 9, 2025	Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga
May 4, 2025	FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga
Dec 21, 2024	Eintracht Frankfurt 1-3 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga
Jan 26, 2024	Eintracht Frankfurt 1-0 FSV Mainz 05	Bundesliga
Aug 27, 2023	FSV Mainz 05 1-1 Eintracht Frankfurt	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 score 3.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Eintracht Frankfurt score 3.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 05	3.0	1.3	6	7/15	11/15
Eintracht Frankfurt	3.1	1.7	4	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 sit 10th in Bundesliga (40 points from 34 matches) and Eintracht Frankfurt sit 8th (44 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	11	11	12	61	65	44
10	FSV Mainz 05	34	10	10	14	44	53	40

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt?: The Footlab model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 54%, against 21% for a draw and 25% for Eintracht Frankfurt.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt played?: FSV Mainz 05 vs Eintracht Frankfurt is played on September 12, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MEWA ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.