Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia MönchengladbachSC Freiburg

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg?

A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and SC Freiburg (2,193).

Borussia Mönchengladbach win44 %
Draw25 %
SC Freiburg win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
SC Freiburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)5-1DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026Motherwell(away)3-1UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026Crystal Palace(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Strasbourg(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Derby(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 SC Freiburg win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Oct 5, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Apr 12, 2025Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Nov 30, 2024SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Mar 30, 2024Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 SC FreiburgBundesliga
Nov 4, 2023SC Freiburg 3-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Feb 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15
SC Freiburg2.21.5211/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7SC Freiburg3413813515747
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for SC Freiburg.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg played?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Freiburg

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