Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 20Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for SC Freiburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and SC Freiburg (2,193).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SC Freiburg have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Fortuna Düsseldorf(away) | 5-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Motherwell(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Strasbourg(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Derby(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 SC Freiburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | SC Freiburg 2-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 12, 2025 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 30, 2024 | SC Freiburg 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-3 SC Freiburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 4, 2023 | SC Freiburg 3-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Feb 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| SC Freiburg | 2.2 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th in Bundesliga (38 points from 34 matches) and SC Freiburg sit 7th (47 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51 | 57 | 47 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for SC Freiburg.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Freiburg is played on February 6, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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