SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats
DFB PokalRound of 32Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 0-3.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (2,270 vs 2,105).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SC Paderborn 07
3-5-2- 30S. Marino
- 18M. Pieringer
- 5S. Castañeda
- 40G. Vidović
- 23R. Obermair
- 17L. Curda
- 28L. Ulrich
- 21J. ter Horst
- 22M. Hansen
- 25T. Scheller
- 15N. Noll
VfB Stuttgart
4-2-3-1- 9E. Demirović
- 6A. Stiller
- 26D. Undav
- 18J. Leweling
- 11B. El Khannouss
- 10C. Führich
- 24J. Chabot
- 3R. Hendriks
- 4J. Vagnoman
- 7M. Mittelstädt
- 41D. Seimen
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 01:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-2 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 10, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 30, 2026 | DC United(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | 1899 Hoffenheim(home) | 3-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(away) | 0-3 | Bundesliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Atletico Madrid(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hamburger SV(away) | 0-1 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava(away) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 2-0 | Bundesliga |
| Oct 1, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 SC Paderborn 07 wins, 1 draw, 3 VfB Stuttgart wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Jan 31, 2023 | SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal |
| May 23, 2015 | SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga |
| Dec 20, 2014 | VfB Stuttgart 0-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SC Paderborn 07 score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2.1 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
- The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 80%, against 13% for a draw and 7% for SC Paderborn 07.
- Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart played?
- SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart is played on October 28, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the DFB Pokal.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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