Match

Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BayArena, Leverkusen

Bayer LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart

The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,876 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

On Elo ratings, Bayer Leverkusen has 2,349 points and VfB Stuttgart 2,290.

62%20%18%
Bayer Leverkusen winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Bayer Leverkusen

4-2-3-1
  1. 14P. Schick
  1. 24Aleix García
  2. 30I. Maza
  3. 9Afonso Moreira
  4. 19M. Diaby
  5. 6E. Fernández
  1. 12E. Tapsoba
  2. 3Miguel Gutiérrez
  3. 2F. Medina
  4. 4J. Quansah
  1. 1M. Flekken

VfB Stuttgart

4-2-3-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 18J. Leweling
  4. 16A. Karazor
  5. 11B. El Khannouss
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 4J. Vagnoman
  4. 29Finn Jeltsch
  1. 41D. Seimen

Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:51 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bayer Leverkusen have 12 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Bayer Leverkusen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 18, 2026SC Freiburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
Oct 15, 2026Lech Poznan(away)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 10, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026RB Leipzig(home)2-0Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2026Celje(home)2-0UEFA Europa League
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Hamburger SV(away)0-1Bundesliga
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Bayer Leverkusen win, 3 draws, 2 VfB Stuttgart wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 9, 2026VfB Stuttgart 3-1 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Jan 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen 1-4 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Mar 16, 2025VfB Stuttgart 3-4 Bayer LeverkusenBundesliga
Nov 1, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 0-0 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Aug 17, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 VfB StuttgartSuper Cup
Apr 27, 2024Bayer Leverkusen 2-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen on May 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Bayer Leverkusen score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 2.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Bayer Leverkusen2.70.978/1513/15
VfB Stuttgart2.61.157/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Bayer Leverkusen sit 4th in Bundesliga (13 points from 6 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 13th (6 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
4Bayer Leverkusen641116913
13VfB Stuttgart62048106

A question about Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart?
The Footlab AI model makes Bayer Leverkusen the favourite at 62%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for VfB Stuttgart.
Where and when is Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart played?
Bayer Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BayArena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Bayer Leverkusen and VfB Stuttgart

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