Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart played?

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

VfB Stuttgart

The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (2,243 vs 2,070).

SC Paderborn 07 win27 %

Draw23 %

VfB Stuttgart win49 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga
May 17, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-0	2. Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Hansa Rostock(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Fulham(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Everton(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Paris FC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Kickers Offenbach(away)	8-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 VfB Stuttgart win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 31, 2023	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart	DFB Pokal
May 23, 2015	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB Stuttgart	Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2014	VfB Stuttgart 0-0 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart on Jan 31, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 07	1.8	1.5	4	11/15	9/15
VfB Stuttgart	3.1	1.3	4	9/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	18	8	8	71	49	62

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?: The Footlab model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart played?: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.