Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07VfB Stuttgart

The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1. If VfB Stuttgart wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

VfB Stuttgart starts as the favourite with a 150-point Elo edge (2,247 vs 2,096).

26%23%51%
SC Paderborn 07 winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

SC Paderborn 07

3-5-2
  1. 18M. Pieringer
  2. 30S. Marino
  1. 5S. Castañeda
  2. 40G. Vidović
  3. 23R. Obermair
  4. 17L. Curda
  5. 28L. Ulrich
  1. 21J. ter Horst
  2. 22M. Hansen
  3. 25T. Scheller
  1. 15N. Noll

Known absences

  • M. HoffmeierOut · Muscle injury
  • T. GayretOut · Knee injury
  • L. EickelDoubtful · Back injury
  • N. Awortwie-GrantDoubtful · Knee injury

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 21G. Prömel
  2. 6A. Stiller
  3. 26D. Undav
  4. 10C. Führich
  5. 4J. Vagnoman
  6. 16A. Karazor
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 7M. Mittelstädt
  3. 29Finn Jeltsch
  1. 1F. Bredlow

Known absences

  • A. Al DakhilOut · Knee injury
  • D. ZagadouDoubtful · Muscle injury
  • J. DiehlDoubtful · Muscle injury
  • L. JaquezDoubtful · Muscle injury
  • N. NarteyDoubtful · Muscle injury
  • Tiago TomásDoubtful · Muscle injury

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 08:05 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 9, 1 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 30, 2026DC United(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 20261899 Hoffenheim(home)3-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Borussia Dortmund(away)0-3Bundesliga
Sep 5, 2026SC Freiburg(home)0-1Bundesliga
Aug 29, 2026FSV Mainz 05(away)0-0Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-2Bundesliga
Sep 9, 2026Viking(home)3-1UEFA Champions League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 SC Paderborn 07 wins, 1 draw, 2 VfB Stuttgart wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 31, 2023SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
May 23, 2015SC Paderborn 07 1-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Dec 20, 2014VfB Stuttgart 0-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart on Jan 31, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 071.51.458/158/15
VfB Stuttgart3.11.257/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Paderborn 07 sit 12th in Bundesliga (4 points from 4 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 15th (3 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12SC Paderborn 074112354
15VfB Stuttgart4103693

A question about SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The Footlab AI model makes VfB Stuttgart the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart played?
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SC Paderborn 07 and VfB Stuttgart

Ready to know everything about football?