Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,090).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Werder Bremen(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 25, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| May 21, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(away) | 0-0 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2021 | SC Paderborn 07 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 22, 2020 | SC Paderborn 07 0-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 20, 2020 | SC Paderborn 07 1-3 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Dec 18, 2019 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
| Mar 1, 2015 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 SC Paderborn 07 | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Jul 17, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Paderborn 07.
- Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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