Match

Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)BORUSSIA-PARK, Mönchengladbach

Borussia MönchengladbachSC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,090).

Borussia Mönchengladbach win44 %
Draw24 %
SC Paderborn 07 win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Borussia Mönchengladbach
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Schott Mainz(away)5-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Aston Villa(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 12, 2026SSVg Velbert(away)8-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hansa Rostock(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
SC Paderborn 07
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Phönix Lübeck(away)4-2DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)2-0Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)2-1Bundesliga
May 21, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(away)0-0Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 17, 2021SC Paderborn 07 3-1 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
Aug 22, 2020Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
Aug 22, 2020SC Paderborn 07 0-2 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
Jun 20, 2020SC Paderborn 07 1-3 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
Dec 18, 2019Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga
Mar 1, 2015Borussia Mönchengladbach 2-0 SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs Borussia Mönchengladbach on Jul 17, 2021

How many goals should we expect?

Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Borussia Mönchengladbach2.90.968/1511/15
SC Paderborn 071.91.5411/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Borussia Mönchengladbach3491114425338

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 played?
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on October 31, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at BORUSSIA-PARK, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Paderborn 07

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