Match

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Seattle SoundersCF Montreal

The Footlab AI model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

Seattle Sounders starts as the favourite with a 227-point Elo edge (1,920 vs 1,692).

61%21%18%
Seattle Sounders winDrawCF Montreal win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Seattle Sounders

4-2-3-1
  1. 19D. Musovski
  1. 11A. Rusnák
  2. 13J. Morris
  3. 45P. Kingston
  4. 17P. Arriola
  5. 31H. Dotson
  1. 5N. Tolo
  2. 16A. Roldan
  3. 39S. Hawkins
  4. 25J. Ragen
  1. 26A. Thomas

Known absences

  • C. RoldanOut · Muscle injury

CF Montreal

3-4-1-2
  1. 9P. Owusu
  2. 14D. Ríos
  1. 22V. Loturi
  2. 13L. Petrasso
  3. 10A. Sánchez
  4. 8M. Longstaff
  5. 27D. Bugaj
  1. 2J. Neal
  2. 3B. Ceballos
  3. 5B. Craig
  1. 1S. Breza

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:07 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seattle Sounders have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; CF Montreal have 3, 5 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seattle Sounders
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Sporting Kansas City(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Minnesota United FC(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2026Real Salt Lake(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Los Angeles Galaxy(away)1-1Major League Soccer
CF Montreal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026FC Cincinnati(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 19, 2026Columbus Crew(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 16, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)2-1Canadian Championship
Sep 13, 2026Colorado Rapids(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Sep 9, 2026Charlotte(home)1-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Seattle Sounders wins, 1 draw, 3 CF Montreal wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 7, 2024Seattle Sounders 5-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022Seattle Sounders 1-2 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Jun 5, 2019CF Montreal 2-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Apr 1, 2018Seattle Sounders 0-1 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Mar 12, 2017CF Montreal 2-2 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer
Apr 3, 2016Seattle Sounders 1-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal on Apr 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Seattle Sounders score 1.3 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; CF Montreal score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders1.31.439/159/15
CF Montreal1.01.719/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Seattle Sounders sit 7th in Major League Soccer (38 points from 27 matches) and CF Montreal sit 15th (24 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Seattle SoundersWestern Conference271089353538
15CF MontrealEastern Conference276615345424

A question about Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?
The Footlab AI model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 61%, against 21% for a draw and 18% for CF Montreal.
Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal played?
Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Seattle Sounders and CF Montreal

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