Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal played?

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Lumen Field, Seattle, Washington

Seattle Sounders

CF Montreal

The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for CF Montreal. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Seattle Sounders (1,799) and CF Montreal (1,788).

Seattle Sounders win47 %

Draw24 %

CF Montreal win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Seattle Sounders have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; CF Montreal have 5, 6 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Seattle Sounders
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Cincinnati(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	Austin(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026	Vancouver Whitecaps(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Guadalajara Chivas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Club Queretaro(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup

CF Montreal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Los Angeles Galaxy(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 19, 2026	Columbus Crew(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	DC United(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	New England Revolution(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	0-1	Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Seattle Sounders win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 CF Montreal win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 7, 2024	Seattle Sounders 5-0 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022	Seattle Sounders 1-2 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Jun 5, 2019	CF Montreal 2-1 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Apr 1, 2018	Seattle Sounders 0-1 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer
Mar 12, 2017	CF Montreal 2-2 Seattle Sounders	Major League Soccer
Apr 3, 2016	Seattle Sounders 1-0 CF Montreal	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal on Apr 7, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Seattle Sounders score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; CF Montreal score 1.7 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Seattle Sounders	0.9	1.9	1	9/15	8/15
CF Montreal	1.7	1.4	3	9/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Seattle Sounders sit 13th in Major League Soccer (25 points from 20 matches) and CF Montreal sit 13th (21 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Seattle Sounders	20	7	4	9	22	27	25
13	CF Montreal	21	5	6	10	29	39	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal?: The Footlab model makes Seattle Sounders the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for CF Montreal.
Where and when is Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal played?: Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal is played on October 18, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Lumen Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.