Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 30Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka
The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nagoya Grampus. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Shimizu S-pulse (1,901) and Nagoya Grampus (1,953).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Nagoya Grampus have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 2-1 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Gainare Tottori(home) | 1-3 | Emperor Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Consadole Sapporo(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shimizu S-pulse win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Nagoya Grampus win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus 0-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-2 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Feb 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J1 League |
| May 3, 2025 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-3 Nagoya Grampus | J1 League |
| Mar 3, 2024 | Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-pulse on Aug 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shimizu S-pulse score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Nagoya Grampus score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shimizu S-pulse | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Nagoya Grampus | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Nagoya Grampus sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus?
- The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 37%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Nagoya Grampus.
- Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus played?
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Nagoya Grampus is played on April 17, 2027 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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