Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)K’s Denki Stadium, Mito
The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shimizu S-pulse. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Mito Hollyhock (1,829) and Shimizu S-pulse (1,899).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mito Hollyhock have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Shimizu S-pulse have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(away) | 3-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Gamba Osaka(home) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kashiwa Reysol(away) | 1-2 | J1 League |
| Jun 6, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| May 30, 2026 | V-varen Nagasaki(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(away) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nagoya Grampus(away) | 1-0 | J1 League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Yokohama F. Marinos(away) | 0-3 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Mito Hollyhock win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Shimizu S-pulse win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2024 | Mito Hollyhock 2-2 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| May 26, 2024 | Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Nov 12, 2023 | Mito Hollyhock 1-1 Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Shimizu S-pulse 0-0 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Sep 18, 2016 | Shimizu S-pulse 2-1 Mito Hollyhock | J2 League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Shimizu S-pulse 3-0 Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse on Oct 6, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mito Hollyhock | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Shimizu S-pulse | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Mito Hollyhock sit 7th in J1 League (4 points from 3 matches) and Shimizu S-pulse sit 15th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mito Hollyhock | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 15 | Shimizu S-pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse?
- The Footlab model makes Mito Hollyhock the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Shimizu S-pulse.
- Where and when is Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse played?
- Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse is played on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at K’s Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsVissel Kobe
- Oct 10, 2026KashimavsGamba Osaka
- Oct 10, 2026Cerezo OsakavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Oct 10, 2026FC TokyovsUrawa
- Oct 10, 2026Kawasaki FrontalevsNagoya Grampus
- Oct 10, 2026JEF United ChibavsV-varen Nagasaki
- Oct 10, 2026Kyoto SangavsMachida Zelvia
- Oct 10, 2026Tokyo VerdyvsSanfrecce Hiroshima