Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka played?

Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the Emperor Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka: prediction and stats

Emperor Cup2nd RoundKick-off on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka

Shimizu S-pulse

Osaka

The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Osaka. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka?

Shimizu S-pulse starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,900 vs 1,715).

Shimizu S-pulse win75 %

Draw16 %

Osaka win10 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shimizu S-pulse have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Shimizu S-pulse
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 15, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(home)	0-1	J1 League
Aug 8, 2026	Nagoya Grampus(away)	1-0	J1 League
Jul 18, 2026	Karlsruher SC(away)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama F. Marinos(away)	0-3	J1 League

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Shimizu S-pulse score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Shimizu S-pulse	1.0	1.3	2	8/15	6/15
Osaka	1.5	1.4	1	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Shimizu S-pulse the favourite at 75%, against 16% for a draw and 10% for Osaka.
Where and when is Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka played?: Shimizu S-pulse vs Osaka is played on August 26, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira, in the Emperor Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.