Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka played?

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka: prediction and stats

J3 LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Ishin Me-Life Stadium, Yamaguchi

Renofa Yamaguchi

Osaka

The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Osaka. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?

A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Renofa Yamaguchi (1,716) and Osaka (1,715).

Renofa Yamaguchi win45 %

Draw29 %

Osaka win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Renofa Yamaguchi have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Osaka have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Renofa Yamaguchi
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Nara Club(away)	1-3	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Kagoshima United(away)	1-2	Emperor Cup
Aug 15, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	1-0	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(away)	0-1	J3 League
Jun 6, 2026	Yokohama FC(away)	1-2	J2/J3 League

Osaka
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Ryukyu(home)	2-2	J3 League
Aug 19, 2026	Nara Club(away)	4-1	Emperor Cup
Aug 16, 2026	Parceiro Nagano(home)	4-2	J3 League
Aug 8, 2026	Gainare Tottori(away)	1-1	J3 League
Jul 19, 2026	Avispa Fukuoka(away)	2-3	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Renofa Yamaguchi score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Osaka score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Renofa Yamaguchi	1.5	1.5	2	11/15	9/15
Osaka	1.5	1.4	1	11/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Renofa Yamaguchi sit 13th in J3 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Osaka sit 7th (5 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Osaka	3	1	2	0	7	5	5
13	Renofa Yamaguchi	3	1	0	2	2	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka?: The Footlab model makes Renofa Yamaguchi the favourite at 45%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Osaka.
Where and when is Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka played?: Renofa Yamaguchi vs Osaka is played on August 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Ishin Me-Life Stadium, in the J3 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.