Simba vs Be Forward Wanderers: prediction and stats
CAF Champions LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)KMC Stadium, Dar es Salaam
The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 65%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Be Forward Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Simba vs Be Forward Wanderers?
Simba starts as the favourite with a 193-point Elo edge (1,922 vs 1,730).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Simba have 13 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats; Be Forward Wanderers have 8, 6 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Pamba Jiji(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-1 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Jamus(away) | 0-0 | CECAFA Club Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Red Lions(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kamuzu Barracks(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Moyale Barracks(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Masters FC(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | MAFCO(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Simba score 1.8 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Be Forward Wanderers score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simba | 1.8 | 0.3 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Be Forward Wanderers | 1.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Simba | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Simba vs Be Forward Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Simba the favourite at 65%, against 25% for a draw and 11% for Be Forward Wanderers.
- Where and when is Simba vs Be Forward Wanderers played?
- Simba vs Be Forward Wanderers is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at KMC Stadium, in the CAF Champions League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.