SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 2026 | Słowianin(away) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 22, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(away) | 0-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 13, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| May 9, 2026 | Górnik Zabrze II(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carina Gubin(away) | 4-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | ROW Rybnik(away) | 1-4 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 2-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Tychy 71(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-2 SKRA Częstochowa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4-1 SKRA Częstochowa | II Liga - East |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 SKRA Częstochowa | I Liga |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-3 SKRA Częstochowa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 13, 2022 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec | I Liga |
| Mar 20, 2022 | SKRA Częstochowa 1-2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec | I Liga |
Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKRA Częstochowa | 2.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 1.2 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
- The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
- Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
- SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 12, 2026ROW RybnikvsZagłębie Lubin II
- Sep 12, 2026KluczborkvsŚlęza Wrocław
- Sep 12, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsGoczałkowice Zdrój
- Sep 12, 2026Warta GorzówvsStal Brzeg
- Sep 12, 2026Carina GubinvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Sep 12, 2026Karkonosze Jelenia GóravsStilon Gorzów
- Sep 12, 2026Barycz SułówvsGórnik Polkowice
- Sep 12, 2026SłowianinvsSparta Katowice