Match

SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, Częstochowa

SKRA CzęstochowaZaglebie Sosnowiec

The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?

A very open match: only 72 Elo points separate SKRA Częstochowa (1,782) and Zaglebie Sosnowiec (1,710).

SKRA Częstochowa win54 %
Draw23 %
Zaglebie Sosnowiec win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SKRA Częstochowa have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Zaglebie Sosnowiec have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SKRA Częstochowa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 30, 2026Słowianin(away)1-2III Liga - Group 3
May 22, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)4-0III Liga - Group 3
May 16, 2026Sparta Katowice(away)0-1III Liga - Group 3
May 13, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)2-1III Liga - Group 3
May 9, 2026Górnik Zabrze II(home)1-2III Liga - Group 3
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Carina Gubin(away)4-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026Ślęza Wrocław(home)3-1III Liga - Group 3
Aug 16, 2026ROW Rybnik(away)1-4III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026Goczałkowice Zdrój(home)2-0III Liga - Group 3
Aug 5, 2026Tychy 71(away)0-1Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 SKRA Częstochowa win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Zaglebie Sosnowiec win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 17, 2026Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-2 SKRA CzęstochowaFriendlies Clubs
Oct 12, 2024Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4-1 SKRA CzęstochowaII Liga - East
Mar 12, 2023Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0-1 SKRA CzęstochowaI Liga
Jan 18, 2023Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2-3 SKRA CzęstochowaFriendlies Clubs
Aug 13, 2022SKRA Częstochowa 1-0 Zaglebie SosnowiecI Liga
Mar 20, 2022SKRA Częstochowa 1-2 Zaglebie SosnowiecI Liga

Last archived meeting: Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs SKRA Częstochowa on Apr 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SKRA Częstochowa score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zaglebie Sosnowiec score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
SKRA Częstochowa2.01.349/1513/15
Zaglebie Sosnowiec1.21.556/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Zaglebie Sosnowiec531110510

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec?
The Footlab model makes SKRA Częstochowa the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Zaglebie Sosnowiec.
Where and when is SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec played?
SKRA Częstochowa vs Zaglebie Sosnowiec is played on September 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KS Skra Częstochowa Akademia, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: SKRA Częstochowa and Zaglebie Sosnowiec

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