Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw played?

Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin

Motor Lublin

Slask Wroclaw

The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Slask Wroclaw. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?

A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Motor Lublin (1,930) and Slask Wroclaw (1,958).

Motor Lublin win43 %

Draw26 %

Slask Wroclaw win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Motor Lublin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Slask Wroclaw have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

Slask Wroclaw
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Widzew Łódź(home)	3-3	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Zaglebie Lubin(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Aug 9, 2026	Cracovia Krakow(home)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Raków Częstochowa(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Jul 25, 2026	Gornik Zabrze(away)	1-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Motor Lublin win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Slask Wroclaw win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 5, 2025	Slask Wroclaw 1-1 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Sep 28, 2024	Motor Lublin 2-1 Slask Wroclaw	Ekstraklasa

Last archived meeting: Slask Wroclaw vs Motor Lublin on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Slask Wroclaw score 2.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15
Slask Wroclaw	2.1	1.1	5	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Motor Lublin sit 13th in Ekstraklasa (5 points from 5 matches) and Slask Wroclaw sit 12th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Slask Wroclaw	5	1	2	2	7	8	5
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw?: The Footlab model makes Motor Lublin the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Slask Wroclaw.
Where and when is Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw played?: Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw is played on October 17, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Motor Lublin Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.