Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin played?

Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin: prediction and stats

EkstraklasaRegular Season - 29Kick-off on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)KGHM Zagłębie Arena, Lubin

Zaglebie Lubin

Motor Lublin

The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Motor Lublin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin?

A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Zaglebie Lubin (1,952) and Motor Lublin (1,934).

Zaglebie Lubin win51 %

Draw25 %

Motor Lublin win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zaglebie Lubin have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Motor Lublin have 4, 5 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Zaglebie Lubin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Radomiak Radom(away)	0-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 15, 2026	Slask Wroclaw(home)	2-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 2, 2026	Legia Warszawa(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 27, 2026	Piast Gliwice(home)	2-0	Ekstraklasa
Jul 18, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

Motor Lublin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Korona Kielce(away)	1-1	Ekstraklasa
Aug 16, 2026	GKS Katowice(home)	1-0	Ekstraklasa
Aug 8, 2026	Pogon Szczecin(away)	1-3	Ekstraklasa
Jul 31, 2026	Jagiellonia(home)	1-2	Ekstraklasa
Jul 26, 2026	Widzew Łódź(away)	2-2	Ekstraklasa

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Zaglebie Lubin win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Motor Lublin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	Motor Lublin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Sep 21, 2025	Zaglebie Lubin 2-2 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
May 18, 2025	Motor Lublin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Ekstraklasa
Nov 22, 2024	Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Motor Lublin	Ekstraklasa
Oct 19, 2022	Motor Lublin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin	Cup

Last archived meeting: Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Zaglebie Lubin score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Motor Lublin score 1.4 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Zaglebie Lubin	1.3	0.9	7	4/15	6/15
Motor Lublin	1.4	1.6	3	9/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Zaglebie Lubin sit 6th in Ekstraklasa (7 points from 4 matches) and Motor Lublin sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Zaglebie Lubin	4	2	1	1	5	4	7
13	Motor Lublin	5	1	2	2	6	8	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin?: The Footlab model makes Zaglebie Lubin the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Motor Lublin.
Where and when is Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin played?: Zaglebie Lubin vs Motor Lublin is played on April 17, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at KGHM Zagłębie Arena, in the Ekstraklasa.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.