Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew: prediction and stats
CupRound of 64Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sokoła Ostróda, Ostróda
The Footlab model makes Sokół Kleczew the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Sokół Ostróda. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew?
Sokół Kleczew starts as the favourite with a 218-point Elo edge (1,796 vs 1,578).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sokół Ostróda have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Sokół Kleczew have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 2026 | Mławianka Mława(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 17, 2023 | Ursus Warszawa(away) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 10, 2023 | Błonianka Błonie(home) | 2-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Jun 7, 2023 | Lechia T. Mazowiecki(home) | 1-2 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| May 28, 2023 | Pelikan Łowicz(away) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Legia Warszawa II(away) | 1-6 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lechia Zielona Góra(away) | 1-6 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Unia Skierniewice(away) | 2-2 | Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Podhale Nowy Targ(home) | 0-0 | II Liga - East |
How many goals should we expect?
Sokół Ostróda score 0.8 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Sokół Kleczew score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sokół Ostróda | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Sokół Kleczew | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew?
- The Footlab model makes Sokół Kleczew the favourite at 63%, against 20% for a draw and 17% for Sokół Ostróda.
- Where and when is Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew played?
- Sokół Ostróda vs Sokół Kleczew is played on September 2, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sokoła Ostróda, in the Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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