Where and when is South Shields vs Buxton played?

South Shields vs Buxton is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 1st Cloud Arena, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

South Shields vs Buxton: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)1st Cloud Arena, South Shields, Tyne and Wear

South Shields

Buxton

The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Buxton. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win South Shields vs Buxton?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate South Shields (1,934) and Buxton (1,883).

South Shields win49 %

Draw25 %

Buxton win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, South Shields have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Buxton have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

South Shields
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Merthyr Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Morecambe(away)	1-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Chorley(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(away)	1-0	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Gateshead(away)	4-1	Friendlies Clubs

Buxton
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hebburn Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Bedford Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Southport(away)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Hereford(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Warrington Town(away)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 South Shields win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Buxton win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	South Shields 1-0 Buxton	National League - North
Jan 3, 2026	Buxton 1-1 South Shields	National League - North
Aug 30, 2025	South Shields 2-2 Buxton	National League - North
Feb 11, 2025	Buxton 1-0 South Shields	National League - North
Sep 3, 2024	South Shields 1-0 Buxton	National League - North
Mar 16, 2024	Buxton 0-2 South Shields	National League - North

Last archived meeting: South Shields vs Buxton on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Buxton score 2.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
South Shields	1.7	0.9	4	8/15	6/15
Buxton	2.1	1.2	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

South Shields sit 5th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and Buxton sit 14th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	South Shields	4	3	1	0	5	2	10
14	Buxton	4	1	1	2	5	6	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for South Shields vs Buxton?: The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Buxton.
Where and when is South Shields vs Buxton played?: South Shields vs Buxton is played on September 26, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at 1st Cloud Arena, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.