Malawi vs South Sudan: result 2-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on September 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Bingu National Stadium, Lilongwe
Full time
What was the result of Malawi vs South Sudan?
Malawi won 2-1 on September 25, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 20′?Malawi
- 48′?South Sudan
- 64′?Malawi
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Malawi win at 55%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-0. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Malawi vs South Sudan
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Malawi
4-2-3-1- 14Adepoju adebare babatunde
- 11chifundo mphasi
- 13Patrick Mwaungulu
- 17Gaddie Chirwa
- 6B. Singini
- 8lloyd njaliwa
- 22Emmanuel Nyirenda
- 5Chembezi Denis
- 3C. Petro
- 2M. Lameck
- 16William Kilipota Thole
South Sudan
4-4-2- 15M. Albano
- 12Jamu Akou Arum Iluya
- 17Paul Jawa
- 8William Emmanuel Kundu Gama
- 5Peter Chan
- 20joseph stephen dhata
- 13B. Bakassoro
- 2Benjamin Laku Lotelek
- 14R. Angier
- 3Geriga Atendele
- 23Majak Mawith
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Malawi have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; South Sudan have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Ethiopia(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Ethiopia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Botswana(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Zambia U23(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Lesotho(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | Djibouti(home) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Djibouti(away) | 4-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 25, 2025 | Syria(away) | 0-2 | Arab Cup |
| Oct 13, 2025 | Togo(home) | 0-0 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Oct 10, 2025 | Senegal(home) | 0-5 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Malawi wins, 0 draws, 1 South Sudan win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021 | South Sudan 0-1 Malawi | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2019 | Malawi 1-0 South Sudan | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Nov 27, 2015 | South Sudan 2-0 Malawi | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: South Sudan vs Malawi on Mar 24, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Malawi score 0.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; South Sudan score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malawi | 0.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| South Sudan | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Malawi sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and South Sudan sit 4th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Malawi | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 4 | South Sudan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Malawi vs South Sudan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy