Hebburn Town vs Chorley: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 29Kick-off on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Energy Check Sports Ground, Hebburn, Tyne and Wear
The Footlab AI model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hebburn Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,456 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Hebburn Town vs Chorley?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate Hebburn Town (1,861) and Chorley (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Hebburn Town vs Chorley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Hebburn Town
Not enough data to predict the Hebburn Town lineup.
Chorley
Not enough data to predict the Chorley lineup.
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 04:44 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hebburn Town have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Chorley have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guiseley AFC(home) | 1-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Hednesford Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Radcliffe(away) | 1-5 | National League - North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | AFC Telford United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Barton Town Old Boys(away) | 4-1 | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rylands(away) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - North |
How many goals should we expect?
Hebburn Town score 1.7 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Chorley score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hebburn Town | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
| Chorley | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Hebburn Town sit 7th in National League - North (18 points from 11 matches) and Chorley sit 9th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hebburn Town | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 19 | 18 |
| 9 | Chorley | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 17 |
A question about Hebburn Town vs Chorley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Hebburn Town vs Chorley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Hebburn Town the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Chorley.
- Where and when is Hebburn Town vs Chorley played?
- Hebburn Town vs Chorley is played on January 26, 2027 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Energy Check Sports Ground, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.