Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, Callao
The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sporting Cristal. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal?
Sporting Cristal starts as the favourite with a 122-point Elo edge (1,722 vs 1,600).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Boys have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Sporting Cristal have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ADT(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 30, 2026 | RB Bragantino(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sport Boys win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Sporting Cristal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Sporting Cristal 3-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Sport Boys 0-2 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Sporting Cristal 2-1 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Sporting Cristal 4-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Sport Boys 1-3 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Sport Boys 1-1 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Sporting Cristal vs Sport Boys on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sporting Cristal score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Boys | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Sporting Cristal | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Boys sit 11th in Primera División (20 points from 17 matches) and Sporting Cristal sit 12th (19 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sport Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 29 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Boys the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Sporting Cristal.
- Where and when is Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal played?
- Sport Boys vs Sporting Cristal is played on August 30, 2026 at 08:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Miguel Grau del Callao, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsFC Cajamarca
- Aug 29, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsJuan Pablo II College
- Aug 29, 2026UTC CajamarcavsUniversitario
- Aug 30, 2026Alianza LimavsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Aug 30, 2026UCV MoqueguavsAlianza Atletico
- Aug 30, 2026ADTvsSport Huancayo
- Aug 31, 2026CiencianovsCusco
- Aug 31, 2026Atletico GrauvsFBC Melgar