Where and when is Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca played?

Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca is played on August 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 7Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo

Comerciantes Unidos

FC Cajamarca

The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Comerciantes Unidos (1,599) and FC Cajamarca (1,569).

Comerciantes Unidos win60 %

Draw22 %

FC Cajamarca win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; FC Cajamarca have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Comerciantes Unidos
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(away)	3-1	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Atletico Grau(away)	0-1	Primera División
Aug 7, 2026	Cusco(home)	3-1	Primera División
Jul 31, 2026	Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away)	2-3	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Lima(home)	2-2	Primera División

FC Cajamarca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Atletico Grau(home)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Universitario(home)	2-3	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	FBC Melgar(away)	4-2	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	Sport Huancayo(home)	0-2	Primera División
Jul 27, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	1-2	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Comerciantes Unidos win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 FC Cajamarca win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 13, 2026	FC Cajamarca 3-4 Comerciantes Unidos	Primera División

Last archived meeting: FC Cajamarca vs Comerciantes Unidos on Mar 13, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Comerciantes Unidos score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Comerciantes Unidos	1.0	1.1	4	6/15	5/15
FC Cajamarca	1.5	1.8	0	13/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Comerciantes Unidos sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 17 matches) and FC Cajamarca sit 15th (17 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18	20	21
9	Comerciantes Unidos	17	5	6	6	18	20	21
10	Comerciantes Unidos	6	2	2	2	12	10	8
11	Comerciantes Unidos	4	1	2	1	9	8	5
11	Comerciantes Unidos	23	7	8	8	30	30	29
13	FC Cajamarca	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	6	1	1	4	10	14	4
17	FC Cajamarca	23	5	6	12	33	42	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca?: The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for FC Cajamarca.
Where and when is Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca played?: Comerciantes Unidos vs FC Cajamarca is played on August 28, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.