Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima
The Footlab model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Sporting Cristal (1,734) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Cristal have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 4-1 | Copa De La Liga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Sporting Cristal win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Club Deportivo Los Chankas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3-2 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Sporting Cristal 0-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3-1 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 3-3 Sporting Cristal | Primera División |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Sporting Cristal 4-1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs Sporting Cristal on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Cristal score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Cristal sit 12th in Primera División (19 points from 17 matches) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 2nd (34 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 41 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Sporting Cristal | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 29 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
| 12 | Sporting Cristal | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28 | 30 | 19 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
- The Footlab model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
- Where and when is Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?
- Sporting Cristal vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026UniversitariovsComerciantes Unidos
- Sep 5, 2026FBC MelgarvsADT
- Sep 5, 2026Sport HuancayovsSport Boys
- Sep 5, 2026Alianza AtleticovsUTC Cajamarca
- Sep 5, 2026CuscovsUCV Moquegua
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsAtletico Grau
- Sep 5, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsAlianza Lima
- Sep 5, 2026FC CajamarcavsCienciano