Cienciano vs Cusco: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 7Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Cusco. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cienciano vs Cusco?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Cienciano (1,756) and Cusco (1,693).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cienciano have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cusco have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Botafogo(away) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Botafogo(home) | 6-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Universitario(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cienciano win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cusco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 2026 | Cusco 1-2 Cienciano | Copa De La Liga |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Cusco 1-2 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Cienciano 1-2 Cusco | Primera División |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Cusco 0-0 Cienciano | Primera División |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Cienciano 1-2 Cusco | Primera División |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Cusco 2-0 Cienciano | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cienciano score 1.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cienciano | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cusco | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cienciano sit 3rd in Primera División (33 points from 17 matches) and Cusco sit 6th (27 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 3 | Cienciano | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cienciano | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 37 | 28 | 37 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Cusco | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 8 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 9 | Cusco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 16 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cienciano vs Cusco?
- The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 72%, against 18% for a draw and 11% for Cusco.
- Where and when is Cienciano vs Cusco played?
- Cienciano vs Cusco is played on August 29, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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