Sport Huancayo vs Cusco: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 12Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Cusco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Huancayo vs Cusco?
Cusco starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,604).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Huancayo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Cusco have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sport Huancayo win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Cusco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Cusco 2-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Sport Huancayo 1-2 Cusco | Primera División |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Cusco 3-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Cusco 3-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Feb 11, 2024 | Sport Huancayo 2-0 Cusco | Primera División |
| Jul 10, 2023 | Sport Huancayo 3-1 Cusco | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cusco vs Sport Huancayo on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Huancayo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| Cusco | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Huancayo sit 17th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and Cusco sit 6th (27 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Cusco | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 9 | Cusco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Huancayo vs Cusco?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 60%, against 22% for a draw and 18% for Cusco.
- Where and when is Sport Huancayo vs Cusco played?
- Sport Huancayo vs Cusco is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Huancayo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 17, 2026Sporting CristalvsComerciantes Unidos
- Oct 17, 2026Alianza LimavsAtletico Grau
- Oct 17, 2026FBC MelgarvsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 17, 2026Alianza AtleticovsUniversitario
- Oct 17, 2026CiencianovsUTC Cajamarca
- Oct 17, 2026Club Deportivo Los ChankasvsADT
- Oct 17, 2026Juan Pablo II CollegevsSport Boys
- Oct 17, 2026FC CajamarcavsUCV Moquegua