Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Huancayo, Huancayo
The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FBC Melgar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?
FBC Melgar starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,751 vs 1,605).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sport Huancayo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; FBC Melgar have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(home) | 2-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sport Huancayo win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 FBC Melgar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | FBC Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Oct 26, 2025 | FBC Melgar 2-0 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Sport Huancayo 2-2 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Sport Huancayo 2-4 FBC Melgar | Primera División |
| May 18, 2024 | FBC Melgar 4-1 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
| Aug 27, 2023 | FBC Melgar 1-3 Sport Huancayo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: FBC Melgar vs Sport Huancayo on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sport Huancayo score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FBC Melgar score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sport Huancayo | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| FBC Melgar | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sport Huancayo sit 17th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and FBC Melgar sit 5th (28 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 40 | 27 | 39 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 20 | 28 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 15 | Sport Huancayo | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 28 | 40 | 23 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
| 17 | Sport Huancayo | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 31 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar?
- The Footlab model makes Sport Huancayo the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for FBC Melgar.
- Where and when is Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar played?
- Sport Huancayo vs FBC Melgar is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Huancayo, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026UTC CajamarcavsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 31, 2026Sporting CristalvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza LimavsCienciano
- Oct 31, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsADT
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza AtleticovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 31, 2026Atletico GrauvsUniversitario
- Oct 31, 2026CuscovsSport Boys
- Oct 31, 2026UCV MoqueguavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas