Cusco vs Sport Boys: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sport Boys. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cusco vs Sport Boys?
A very open match: only 69 Elo points separate Cusco (1,704) and Sport Boys (1,635).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cusco have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Sport Boys have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 1-4 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 4-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UCV Moquegua(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | ADT(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cusco win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Sport Boys win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Sport Boys 1-0 Cusco | Primera División |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Cusco 3-0 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Jul 6, 2025 | Sport Boys 1-2 Cusco | Primera División |
| Aug 5, 2024 | Cusco 3-1 Sport Boys | Primera División |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Sport Boys 3-0 Cusco | Primera División |
| Oct 3, 2023 | Sport Boys 2-1 Cusco | Primera División |
How many goals should we expect?
Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sport Boys score 1.4 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cusco | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sport Boys | 1.4 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cusco sit 6th in Primera División (27 points from 17 matches) and Sport Boys sit 11th (20 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sport Boys | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Sport Boys | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 6 | Cusco | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 24 | 27 |
| 7 | Cusco | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 35 | 36 |
| 9 | Sport Boys | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 31 |
| 9 | Cusco | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 6 |
| 9 | Cusco | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
| 11 | Sport Boys | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cusco vs Sport Boys?
- The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Sport Boys.
- Where and when is Cusco vs Sport Boys played?
- Cusco vs Sport Boys is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026UTC CajamarcavsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 31, 2026Sporting CristalvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza LimavsCienciano
- Oct 31, 2026Sport HuancayovsFBC Melgar
- Oct 31, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsADT
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza AtleticovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 31, 2026Atletico GrauvsUniversitario
- Oct 31, 2026UCV MoqueguavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas