Where and when is Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca played?

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima

Sporting Cristal

FC Cajamarca

The Footlab model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?

Sporting Cristal starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,734 vs 1,568).

Sporting Cristal win70 %

Draw18 %

FC Cajamarca win12 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Cristal have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; FC Cajamarca have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Cristal
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Alianza Atletico(away)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Sport Huancayo(home)	4-1	Primera División
Aug 8, 2026	Universitario(away)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(home)	2-0	Primera División
Jul 30, 2026	RB Bragantino(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana

FC Cajamarca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Atletico Grau(home)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Universitario(home)	2-3	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	FBC Melgar(away)	4-2	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	Sport Huancayo(home)	0-2	Primera División
Jul 27, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	1-2	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Sporting Cristal win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 FC Cajamarca win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 15, 2026	FC Cajamarca 3-1 Sporting Cristal	Primera División

Last archived meeting: FC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal on May 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Cristal score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sporting Cristal	1.4	1.3	4	9/15	7/15
FC Cajamarca	1.5	1.8	0	13/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Cristal sit 12th in Primera División (19 points from 17 matches) and FC Cajamarca sit 15th (17 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Sporting Cristal	4	2	1	1	5	3	7
5	Sporting Cristal	6	3	1	2	10	7	10
10	Sporting Cristal	23	8	5	10	38	37	29
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28	30	19
12	Sporting Cristal	17	5	4	8	28	30	19
13	FC Cajamarca	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	6	1	1	4	10	14	4
17	FC Cajamarca	23	5	6	12	33	42	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca?: The Footlab model makes Sporting Cristal the favourite at 70%, against 18% for a draw and 12% for FC Cajamarca.
Where and when is Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca played?: Sporting Cristal vs FC Cajamarca is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.