UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua
The Footlab model makes UCV Moquegua the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate UCV Moquegua (1,607) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas (1,678).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, UCV Moquegua have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Universitario(away) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FBC Melgar(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(away) | 1-3 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 UCV Moquegua win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Club Deportivo Los Chankas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1-0 UCV Moquegua | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Club Deportivo Los Chankas vs UCV Moquegua on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Club Deportivo Los Chankas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCV Moquegua | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
UCV Moquegua sit 14th in Primera División (18 points from 17 matches) and Club Deportivo Los Chankas sit 2nd (34 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 2 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 34 |
| 3 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 33 | 41 |
| 7 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | UCV Moquegua | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 13 | UCV Moquegua | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
| 14 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 7 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 18 |
| 14 | UCV Moquegua | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 18 |
| 15 | UCV Moquegua | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
- The Footlab model makes UCV Moquegua the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
- Where and when is UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas played?
- UCV Moquegua vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026UTC CajamarcavsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 31, 2026Sporting CristalvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza LimavsCienciano
- Oct 31, 2026Sport HuancayovsFBC Melgar
- Oct 31, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsADT
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza AtleticovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 31, 2026Atletico GrauvsUniversitario
- Oct 31, 2026CuscovsSport Boys