Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, Cutervo
The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for ADT. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Comerciantes Unidos (1,598) and ADT (1,599).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Comerciantes Unidos have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; ADT have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Atletico Grau(away) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Alianza Lima(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 1-5 | Primera División |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 0 Comerciantes Unidos win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 ADT win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 ADT | Primera División |
| Jul 11, 2025 | ADT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 ADT | Primera División |
| May 19, 2024 | ADT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Comerciantes Unidos score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; ADT score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comerciantes Unidos | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| ADT | 1.2 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Comerciantes Unidos sit 9th in Primera División (21 points from 17 matches) and ADT sit 10th (20 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 20 | 21 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 10 | ADT | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 5 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
| 16 | ADT | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 33 | 22 |
| 18 | ADT | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 18 | ADT | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT?
- The Footlab model makes Comerciantes Unidos the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for ADT.
- Where and when is Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT played?
- Comerciantes Unidos vs ADT is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026UTC CajamarcavsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 31, 2026Sporting CristalvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza LimavsCienciano
- Oct 31, 2026Sport HuancayovsFBC Melgar
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza AtleticovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 31, 2026Atletico GrauvsUniversitario
- Oct 31, 2026CuscovsSport Boys
- Oct 31, 2026UCV MoqueguavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas