Atletico Grau vs Universitario: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Campeones del '36, Sullana
The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Grau. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Grau vs Universitario?
Universitario starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,807 vs 1,621).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Grau have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Universitario have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Juan Pablo II College(away) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sport Boys(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas(home) | 3-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Cajamarca(away) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cienciano(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cusco(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Grau win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Universitario win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Universitario 1-1 Atletico Grau | Copa De La Liga |
| May 16, 2026 | Universitario 0-1 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Universitario 3-1 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
| Jun 26, 2025 | Atletico Grau 0-2 Universitario | Primera División |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Atletico Grau 1-1 Universitario | Primera División |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Universitario 1-0 Atletico Grau | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Universitario vs Atletico Grau on Jun 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Grau score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Universitario score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Grau | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Universitario | 1.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Grau sit 16th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and Universitario sit 4th (29 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Universitario | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 39 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 29 |
| 4 | Universitario | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 29 |
| 6 | Atletico Grau | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Universitario | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 8 | Universitario | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 |
| 12 | Atletico Grau | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | Atletico Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
| 16 | Atletico Grau | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Grau vs Universitario?
- The Footlab model makes Universitario the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Atletico Grau.
- Where and when is Atletico Grau vs Universitario played?
- Atletico Grau vs Universitario is played on October 31, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Campeones del '36, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026UTC CajamarcavsDeportivo Garcilaso
- Oct 31, 2026Sporting CristalvsFC Cajamarca
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza LimavsCienciano
- Oct 31, 2026Sport HuancayovsFBC Melgar
- Oct 31, 2026Comerciantes UnidosvsADT
- Oct 31, 2026Alianza AtleticovsJuan Pablo II College
- Oct 31, 2026CuscovsSport Boys
- Oct 31, 2026UCV MoqueguavsClub Deportivo Los Chankas