Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Juan Pablo II College. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?
Alianza Lima starts as the favourite with a 263-point Elo edge (1,819 vs 1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Juan Pablo II College have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Alianza Lima have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADT(home) | 5-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Cusco(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Atletico Grau(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sporting Cristal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Cienciano(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FBC Melgar(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | UTC Cajamarca(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sport Boys(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Alianza Atletico(home) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Comerciantes Unidos(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Juan Pablo II College win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Alianza Lima win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Alianza Lima 2-0 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2025 | Juan Pablo II College 1-2 Alianza Lima | Primera División |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Alianza Lima 1-0 Juan Pablo II College | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Alianza Lima vs Juan Pablo II College on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Juan Pablo II College score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Lima score 1.4 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Pablo II College | 1.1 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Alianza Lima | 1.4 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Juan Pablo II College sit 18th in Primera División (16 points from 17 matches) and Alianza Lima sit 1st (40 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30 | 8 | 40 |
| 1 | Alianza Lima | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 40 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 6 | 12 |
| 11 | Juan Pablo II College | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II College | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 31 | 47 | 24 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II College | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 40 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza Lima the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Juan Pablo II College.
- Where and when is Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima played?
- Juan Pablo II College vs Alianza Lima is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC), in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 5, 2026UniversitariovsComerciantes Unidos
- Sep 5, 2026Sporting CristalvsClub Deportivo Los Chankas
- Sep 5, 2026FBC MelgarvsADT
- Sep 5, 2026Sport HuancayovsSport Boys
- Sep 5, 2026Alianza AtleticovsUTC Cajamarca
- Sep 5, 2026CuscovsUCV Moquegua
- Sep 5, 2026Deportivo GarcilasovsAtletico Grau
- Sep 5, 2026FC CajamarcavsCienciano