Where and when is Cusco vs UCV Moquegua played?

Cusco vs UCV Moquegua is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Cusco vs UCV Moquegua: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco

Cusco

UCV Moquegua

The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for UCV Moquegua. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate Cusco (1,705) and UCV Moquegua (1,607).

Cusco win58 %

Draw24 %

UCV Moquegua win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cusco have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; UCV Moquegua have 3, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cusco
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	1-4	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Juan Pablo II College(home)	2-0	Primera División
Aug 7, 2026	Comerciantes Unidos(away)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(home)	4-1	Primera División
Jul 25, 2026	Universitario(away)	1-2	Primera División

UCV Moquegua
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Sport Huancayo(away)	2-0	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Sport Boys(home)	1-1	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	0-2	Primera División
Aug 2, 2026	FBC Melgar(home)	0-0	Primera División
Jul 26, 2026	UTC Cajamarca(away)	0-0	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Cusco win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 UCV Moquegua win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	UCV Moquegua 1-2 Cusco	Primera División

Last archived meeting: UCV Moquegua vs Cusco on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cusco score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; UCV Moquegua score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Cusco	1.5	1.7	3	10/15	10/15
UCV Moquegua	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cusco sit 6th in Primera División (27 points from 17 matches) and UCV Moquegua sit 14th (18 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21	24	27
6	Cusco	17	8	3	6	21	24	27
7	Cusco	23	11	3	9	34	35	36
9	Cusco	4	2	0	2	10	7	6
9	Cusco	6	3	0	3	13	11	9
12	UCV Moquegua	6	1	4	1	5	5	7
13	UCV Moquegua	23	6	7	10	22	29	25
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
14	UCV Moquegua	17	5	3	9	17	24	18
15	UCV Moquegua	4	0	3	1	2	4	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cusco vs UCV Moquegua?: The Footlab model makes Cusco the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for UCV Moquegua.
Where and when is Cusco vs UCV Moquegua played?: Cusco vs UCV Moquegua is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.