Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano played?

FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano: prediction and stats

Primera DivisiónClausura - 8Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca

FC Cajamarca

Cienciano

The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Cajamarca. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?

Cienciano starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,743 vs 1,568).

FC Cajamarca win31 %

Draw24 %

Cienciano win45 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Cajamarca have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Cienciano have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Cajamarca
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Atletico Grau(home)	1-3	Primera División
Aug 16, 2026	Universitario(home)	2-3	Primera División
Aug 9, 2026	FBC Melgar(away)	4-2	Primera División
Aug 1, 2026	Sport Huancayo(home)	0-2	Primera División
Jul 27, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(away)	1-2	Primera División

Cienciano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Sport Boys(away)	1-5	Primera División
Aug 21, 2026	Botafogo(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 16, 2026	Deportivo Garcilaso(home)	0-0	Primera División
Aug 14, 2026	Botafogo(home)	6-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Aug 6, 2026	Alianza Atletico(away)	0-1	Primera División

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 FC Cajamarca win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cienciano win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 21, 2026	Cienciano 3-0 FC Cajamarca	Primera División

Last archived meeting: Cienciano vs FC Cajamarca on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Cajamarca score 1.5 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cienciano score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
FC Cajamarca	1.5	1.8	0	13/15	10/15
Cienciano	1.6	1.3	4	7/15	7/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Cajamarca sit 15th in Primera División (17 points from 17 matches) and Cienciano sit 3rd (33 points from 17 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
3	Cienciano	17	10	3	4	34	22	33
6	Cienciano	23	11	4	8	38	33	37
13	FC Cajamarca	4	1	1	2	7	8	4
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	17	4	5	8	23	28	17
15	FC Cajamarca	6	1	1	4	10	14	4
16	Cienciano	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
16	Cienciano	6	1	1	4	4	11	4
17	FC Cajamarca	23	5	6	12	33	42	21

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano?: The Footlab model makes Cienciano the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for FC Cajamarca.
Where and when is FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano played?: FC Cajamarca vs Cienciano is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, in the Primera División.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.