Where and when is Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake played?

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Children's Mercy Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, Kansas

Sporting Kansas City

Real Salt Lake

The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Real Salt Lake starts as the favourite with a 191-point Elo edge (1,795 vs 1,604).

Sporting Kansas City win26 %

Draw24 %

Real Salt Lake win50 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Kansas City have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Real Salt Lake have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Kansas City
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	St. Louis City(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Colorado Rapids(away)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026	Houston Dynamo(home)	0-2	Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026	Los Angeles FC(away)	0-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer

Real Salt Lake
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026	FC Dallas(home)	3-4	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	Minnesota United FC(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	FC Juarez(home)	3-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Atlante FC(home)	4-0	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting Kansas City win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Real Salt Lake win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 4, 2026	Real Salt Lake 3-1 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2025	Real Salt Lake 2-1 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025	Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024	Sporting Kansas City 3-4 Real Salt Lake	Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024	Real Salt Lake 1-0 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023	Real Salt Lake 2-3 Sporting Kansas City	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Kansas City score 0.9 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Salt Lake score 1.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sporting Kansas City	0.9	2.5	0	8/15	11/15
Real Salt Lake	1.9	1.3	4	11/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in Major League Soccer (15 points from 20 matches) and Real Salt Lake sit 8th (28 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Real Salt Lake	20	8	4	8	34	32	28
15	Sporting Kansas City	20	4	3	13	19	49	15

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?: The Footlab model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Sporting Kansas City.
Where and when is Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake played?: Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Children's Mercy Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.