Match

Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC)Children's Mercy Park, Kansas City, Kansas

Sporting Kansas CityReal Salt Lake

The Footlab AI model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Sporting Kansas City. The most likely score is 1-1. If Real Salt Lake wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Real Salt Lake starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,839 vs 1,730).

38%24%38%
Sporting Kansas City winDrawReal Salt Lake win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Sporting Kansas City

4-4-2
  1. 19T. Calheira
  2. 17S. Afrifa
  1. 4L. Johnsen
  2. 14C. Harris
  3. 20K. Agyabeng
  4. 11André Luiz
  1. 18E. Karić
  2. 13J. Reynolds
  3. 28Wyatt Meyer
  4. 15Jansen Miller
  1. 30S. Cleveland

Real Salt Lake

3-4-3
  1. 22S. Solans
  2. 9M. Guilavogui
  3. 39A. Hezarkhani
  1. 92N. Caliskan
  2. 29S. Junqua
  3. 6S. Spierings
  4. 11D. Marczuk
  1. 2D. Yedlin
  2. 26P. Quinton
  3. 3K. Henry
  1. 1Rafael Cabral

Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Kansas City have 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats; Real Salt Lake have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sporting Kansas City
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 2, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Sep 27, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)2-0Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Philadelphia Union(home)3-4Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Sep 6, 2026FC Dallas(away)3-4Major League Soccer
Real Salt Lake
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026New England Revolution(home)3-0Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 20, 2026Vancouver Whitecaps(home)0-3Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026New York City FC(home)0-2Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)1-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting Kansas City win, 1 draw, 4 Real Salt Lake wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Real Salt Lake 3-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Sep 14, 2025Real Salt Lake 2-1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Jun 29, 2025Sporting Kansas City 1-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
Jun 20, 2024Sporting Kansas City 3-4 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
May 5, 2024Real Salt Lake 1-0 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023Real Salt Lake 2-3 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Real Salt Lake vs Sporting Kansas City on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Sporting Kansas City score 1.4 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Real Salt Lake score 1.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sporting Kansas City1.42.1110/1511/15
Real Salt Lake1.31.637/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sporting Kansas City sit 15th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 27 matches) and Real Salt Lake sit 11th (32 points from 27 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11Real Salt Lake279513404432
15Sporting Kansas City276318326521

A question about Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake?
The Footlab AI model makes Real Salt Lake the favourite at 38%, against 24% for a draw and 38% for Sporting Kansas City.
Where and when is Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake played?
Sporting Kansas City vs Real Salt Lake is played on October 18, 2026 at 12:30 AM (UTC) at Children's Mercy Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Sporting Kansas City and Real Salt Lake

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