Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Polonia Bytom played?

Warta Poznań vs Polonia Bytom is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Poznań vs Polonia Bytom: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Enea Stadion, Poznań

Warta Poznań

Polonia Bytom

The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Polonia Bytom. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Poznań vs Polonia Bytom?

A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Warta Poznań (1,884) and Polonia Bytom (1,842).

Warta Poznań win47 %

Draw25 %

Polonia Bytom win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Poznań have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Polonia Bytom have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Poznań
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chrobry Głogów(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Odra Opole(away)	1-3	I Liga
Aug 9, 2026	Nieciecza(away)	2-1	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Resovia Rzeszów(home)	0-1	Cup
Jul 31, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	3-0	I Liga

Polonia Bytom
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki(home)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Stal Mielec(away)	2-5	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce(home)	2-2	I Liga
Jul 31, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(away)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 24, 2026	Warta Poznań(home)	4-3	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Warta Poznań win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Polonia Bytom win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 24, 2026	Polonia Bytom 4-3 Warta Poznań	I Liga
Sep 23, 2025	Warta Poznań 0-1 Polonia Bytom	Cup

Last archived meeting: Polonia Bytom vs Warta Poznań on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Poznań score 1.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Polonia Bytom score 2.1 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Poznań	1.7	1.6	5	9/15	10/15
Polonia Bytom	2.1	2.3	2	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Poznań sit 6th in I Liga (9 points from 5 matches) and Polonia Bytom sit 15th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
6	Warta Poznań	5	3	0	2	10	8	9
15	Polonia Bytom	5	1	2	2	11	14	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Poznań vs Polonia Bytom?: The Footlab model makes Warta Poznań the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Polonia Bytom.
Where and when is Warta Poznań vs Polonia Bytom played?: Warta Poznań vs Polonia Bytom is played on December 12, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Enea Stadion, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.