Stanway Rovers vs Three Bridges: prediction and stats
Non League Premier - IsthmianRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Hawthorns, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Stanway Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stanway Rovers vs Three Bridges?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Stanway Rovers (1,728) and Three Bridges (1,813).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stanway Rovers have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Three Bridges have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-2 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Welling United(away) | 0-4 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Ramsgate(home) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cheshunt(away) | 0-0 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Heybridge Swifts(away) | 5-0 | Non League Div One - Isthmian North |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Aveley(home) | 1-5 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chatham Town(away) | 1-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(away) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dartford(home) | 2-3 | Non League Premier - Isthmian |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Faversham Town(away) | 2-2 | Non League Div One - Isthmian South East |
How many goals should we expect?
Stanway Rovers score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Three Bridges score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stanway Rovers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Three Bridges | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stanway Rovers sit 21st in Non League Premier - Isthmian (1 points from 4 matches) and Three Bridges sit 22nd (0 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Stanway Rovers | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 22 | Three Bridges | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stanway Rovers vs Three Bridges?
- The Footlab model makes Three Bridges the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Stanway Rovers.
- Where and when is Stanway Rovers vs Three Bridges played?
- Stanway Rovers vs Three Bridges is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Hawthorns, in the Non League Premier - Isthmian.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026DartfordvsWingate & Finchley
- Oct 10, 2026LeatherheadvsCheshunt
- Oct 10, 2026Eastbourne BoroughvsWelling United
- Oct 10, 2026WhitehawkvsRamsgate
- Oct 10, 2026Burgess Hill TownvsAveley
- Oct 10, 2026Maldon & TiptreevsWhyteleafe
- Oct 10, 2026Carshalton AthleticvsSt Albans City
- Oct 10, 2026Cray WanderersvsLewes