Strasbourg vs Monaco: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade de la Meinau, Strasbourg
The Footlab model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Monaco. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Strasbourg vs Monaco?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Strasbourg (2,007) and Monaco (2,088).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Strasbourg have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Monaco have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Gornik Zabrze(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Coventry(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Liverpool(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Getafe(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cercle Brugge(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Strasbourg win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Monaco win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Strasbourg 5-4 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Strasbourg 3-1 Monaco | Coupe de France |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Monaco 3-2 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Monaco 0-0 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Strasbourg 1-3 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 10, 2024 | Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Strasbourg score 1.2 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Monaco score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Monaco | 1.9 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Monaco?
- The Footlab model makes Strasbourg the favourite at 40%, against 24% for a draw and 36% for Monaco.
- Where and when is Strasbourg vs Monaco played?
- Strasbourg vs Monaco is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de la Meinau, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.