Sudan vs Mozambique: prediction and stats
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationQualification - 6Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, Nouakchott
The Footlab AI model makes Sudan the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Mozambique. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sudan wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sudan vs Mozambique?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Sudan (1,467) and Mozambique (1,494).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sudan vs Mozambique
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sudan
4-4-2- 20M. Eisa
- 26Aamir Abdallah
- 10Aamir Yunis Abdallah
- 25S. Barglan
- 13A. Taifour
- 10Mohamed Abdelrahman
- 6Mustafa Karshoum
- 3Mohamed Erneq
- 12Bakhit Khamis
- 25Sheddy Barglan
- 21M. Elneel
Mozambique
4-2-3-1- 9Faisal Bangal
- 10Geny Catamo
- 16A. Amade
- 21Guima
- 19Witi
- 18Gildo Lourenço
- 8Edmilson Dove
- 5Bruno Langa
- 15Bruno Wilson
- 2Bheu
- 1Ernan Siluane
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 11:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sudan have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Mozambique have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Mozambique(away) | 1-4 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ethiopia(home) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jan 3, 2026 | Senegal(away) | 1-3 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 31, 2025 | Burkina Faso(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 28, 2025 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 1-0 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Sudan(home) | 4-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Indonesia(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Oman(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Jan 5, 2026 | Nigeria(away) | 0-4 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Sudan wins, 0 draws, 1 Mozambique win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2026 | Mozambique 4-1 Sudan | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
How many goals should we expect?
Sudan score 0.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Mozambique score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sudan | 0.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mozambique | 1.1 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sudan sit 3rd in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (3 points from 2 matches) and Mozambique sit 2nd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mozambique | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Sudan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
A question about Sudan vs Mozambique?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sudan vs Mozambique?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sudan the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Mozambique.
- Where and when is Sudan vs Mozambique played?
- Sudan vs Mozambique is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Cheikha Ould Boïdiya, in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.