Where and when is Sweden U17 vs Finland U17 played?

Sweden U17 vs Finland U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Sweden U17 vs Finland U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Sweden U17

Finland U17

The Footlab model makes Sweden U17 the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Finland U17. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sweden U17 vs Finland U17?

A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Sweden U17 (1,596) and Finland U17 (1,519).

Sweden U17 win63 %

Draw19 %

Finland U17 win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sweden U17 have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Finland U17 have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sweden U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 31, 2026	Montenegro U17(away)	5-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 28, 2026	Greece U17(home)	2-3	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 25, 2026	Norway U17(home)	2-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 23, 2026	Poland U17(home)	1-1	Friendlies
Feb 20, 2026	Estonia U17(away)	2-0	Friendlies

Finland U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 29, 2026	Bosnia-Herzegovina U17(away)	3-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 26, 2026	Moldova U17(home)	0-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Apr 23, 2026	Gibraltar U17(home)	3-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Feb 18, 2026	Spain U17(home)	0-7	Friendlies
Feb 15, 2026	Portugal U17(away)	0-5	Friendlies

How many goals should we expect?

Sweden U17 score 2.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Finland U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Sweden U17	2.7	1.3	7	7/15	10/15
Finland U17	1.6	2.5	3	7/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Sweden U17 sit 1st in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (9 points from 3 matches) and Finland U17 sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Finland U17	3	2	1	0	6	2	7
1	Sweden U17	3	3	0	0	9	3	9

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sweden U17 vs Finland U17?: The Footlab model makes Sweden U17 the favourite at 63%, against 19% for a draw and 18% for Finland U17.
Where and when is Sweden U17 vs Finland U17 played?: Sweden U17 vs Finland U17 is played on November 14, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.