Madagascar vs Tanzania: result 1-1 and analysis
Africa Cup of Nations - QualificationGroup Stage - 2Kick-off on September 29, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stade d'Honneur, Meknès
Full time
What was the result of Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Madagascar and Tanzania drew 1-1 on September 29, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 39′Cyprian KachweleTanzania
- 50′N. FontaineMadagascar
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Madagascar win at 37%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Madagascar vs Tanzania
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Madagascar
4-2-3-1- 9W. Caddy
- 17L. Lapoussin
- 10El Hadari
- 13N. Fontaine
- 6M. Ilaimaharitra
- 7R. Raveloson
- 3M. Jean-Pierre
- 5S. Trémoulet
- 15E. Kari
- 2Radoniaina Rabemanantsoa
- 1G. Dupire
Tanzania
4-2-3-1- 21Cyprian Kachwele
- 9Abdul Hamisi Suleiman
- 6F. Salum
- 11Denis Kibu
- 17A. Msanga
- 7H. Mao
- 15M. Hussein
- 4I. Hamad
- 26Miano van den Bos
- 22N. Chilambo
- 1Yonna Geoffrey
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Madagascar have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Tanzania have 2, 4 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Nigeria(away) | 1-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Jun 2, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Equatorial Guinea(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Kyrgyzstan(away) | 5-2 | Friendlies |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Equatorial Guinea(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Guinea-Bissau(home) | 0-2 | Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Mação(away) | 6-0 | FIFA Series |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Liechtenstein(home) | 0-1 | FIFA Series |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Morocco(away) | 0-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Tunisia(home) | 1-1 | Africa Cup of Nations |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Madagascar win, 1 draw, 2 Tanzania wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Tanzania 2-1 Madagascar | African Nations Championship |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Tanzania 0-1 Madagascar | COSAFA Cup |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Madagascar 1-1 Tanzania | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Tanzania 3-2 Madagascar | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
Last archived meeting: Tanzania vs Madagascar on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Madagascar score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tanzania score 1.0 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madagascar | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Tanzania | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Madagascar sit 4th in Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification (1 point from 2 matches) and Tanzania sit 3rd (1 point from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tanzania | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 4 | Madagascar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
A question about Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy