Tepatitlán vs Monarcas: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Monarcas?
Tepatitlán and Monarcas drew 1-1 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 36′J. CruzTepatitlán (pen.)
- 63′A. FloresMonarcas
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Monarcas win at 65%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-2. Actual score: 1-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Monarcas have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Venados FC(away) | 0-5 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dorados(home) | 1-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo(away) | 0-6 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Tlaxcala(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Venados FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 2-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tepatitlán wins, 0 draws, 3 Monarcas wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2026 | Monarcas 3-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Tepatitlán 3-2 Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Tepatitlán 3-1 Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Monarcas 2-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Tepatitlán 2-1 Monarcas | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Monarcas 1-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Monarcas vs Tepatitlán on Mar 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 0.9 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Monarcas score 1.5 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Monarcas | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (7 points from 12 matches) and Monarcas sit 3rd (23 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Monarcas | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 23 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 7 |
A question about Tepatitlán vs Monarcas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy