Tlaxcala vs Piratas: result 4-2 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 12Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala
Full time
What was the result of Tlaxcala vs Piratas?
Tlaxcala won 4-2 on October 10, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 18′Daniel LajudPiratas (pen.)
- 32′D. CruzPiratas
- 40′E. RoblesTlaxcala (pen.)
- 52′E. RoblesTlaxcala
- 88′Christian Henrique Mota de Oliveira SilvaTlaxcala
- 90′Christian Henrique Mota de Oliveira SilvaTlaxcala
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Piratas win at 46%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 4-2.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Tlaxcala vs Piratas
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Tlaxcala
- 9Christian Henrique Mota de Oliveira Silva
- 11D. Álvarez
- 24E. Robles
- 6A. Iniestra
- 16M. Ramírez
- 1I. Govea
- 3E. Santos
- 21E. García
- 25B. Flores
- 29M. Trejo
- 22N. Bedolla
Piratas
- 8B. Figueroa
- 10G. López
- 25Daniel Lajud
- 28J. Gamboa
- 7O. Soto
- 4A. Lopez
- 15R. Palomares
- 3K. Jaime
- 6D. Cruz
- 14R. Gonzalez
- 20H. Hernández
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tlaxcala have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Piratas have 5, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Monarcas(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cancún(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tapatío(away) | 0-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CDS Tampico Madero(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(home) | 4-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 0-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venados FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 4-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Tlaxcala score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Piratas score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tlaxcala | 1.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Piratas | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 4/11 | 5/11 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tlaxcala sit 11th in Liga de Expansión MX (15 points from 12 matches) and Piratas sit 7th (18 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 18 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 15 |
A question about Tlaxcala vs Piratas?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy