Tigres FC vs Internacional Palmira: prediction and stats
Primera BClausura - 12Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Internacional Palmira the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Tigres FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tigres FC vs Internacional Palmira?
Internacional Palmira starts as the favourite with a 115-point Elo edge (1,602 vs 1,487).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tigres FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Internacional Palmira have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Union Magdalena(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Envigado(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Popayan(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Leones FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Quindio(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Bogota FC(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-2 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Patriotas(away) | 1-3 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tigres FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Internacional Palmira win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | Internacional Palmira 2-2 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Tigres FC 1-0 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Internacional Palmira 2-1 Tigres FC | Primera B |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tigres FC 0-1 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Jun 7, 2025 | Tigres FC 1-2 Internacional Palmira | Primera B |
| Jun 2, 2025 | Internacional Palmira 1-0 Tigres FC | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Internacional Palmira vs Tigres FC on May 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tigres FC score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional Palmira score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tigres FC | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Internacional Palmira | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tigres FC sit 8th in Primera B (20 points from 15 matches) and Internacional Palmira sit 1st (38 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 1 | Internacional Palmira | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 38 |
| 2 | Internacional Palmira | 25 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 50 |
| 3 | Internacional Palmira | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Tigres FC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 6 | Tigres FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Tigres FC | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Tigres FC | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 20 |
| 11 | Internacional Palmira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Internacional Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tigres FC vs Internacional Palmira?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional Palmira the favourite at 40%, against 32% for a draw and 28% for Tigres FC.
- Where and when is Tigres FC vs Internacional Palmira played?
- Tigres FC vs Internacional Palmira is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.